Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Friday Morning 8-22-25

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The Central Bank Indicates A Decline In The Rates Of Exported Currency And Inflation In Iraq.
 
Energy and Business     Iraq     Central Bank     inflation     Issuing currency rates   
2025-08-21 01:25   Shafaq News – Baghdad  The Central Bank of Iraq revealed on Thursday a     decline in the country’s currency exports and     inflation for the second half of 2025.  

The bank said in a report seen by Shafaq News Agency that  “the currency issued by the bank recorded a 3.8% decline in the average rate in the second half of 2025, reaching 98.4 trillion dinars, compared to its value of 102.3 trillion dinars in the second quarter of 2024.”

He added, “The decline in the issued currency  has contributed to a decline in the inflation rate, which maintains the stability of the general price level.” The bank’s report also indicated that “the inflation rate decreased by 76% in the second half of 2025, reaching 0.8%, compared to the second quarter of 2024, which reached 3.3%.”

He stressed that   “the decline in the inflation rate     indicates a decline in the general price level and
     leads to an improvement in the purchasing power of individuals and institutions.”
 
Issued currency is defined as:     the currency issued by the Central Bank of Iraq into circulation (i.e., printed),    excluding the currency in the vaults of the Central Bank.    
  
https://shafaq.com/ar/اقتصـاد/البنك-المركزي-ي-شر-انخفاضا-بمعدلات-العملة-المصدرة-والتضخم-في-العراق 

Investment Authority: We Have Developed A Plan To Attract Investments Worth $250 Billion.
  
Baghdad – INA – Nassar Al-Hajj  The National Investment Commission announced on Wednesday that 
     investment projects have served six vital sectors and    reduced reliance on oil. It also indicated a
     plan to attract $250 billion in investments over the next two years.
 
“The government’s supportive investment orientations and legislative and regulatory reforms have succeeded in attracting Arab and foreign investments exceeding $100 billion in various economic sectors over the past two years,” Hanan Jassim, the commission’s spokeswoman, told the Iraqi News Agency (INA).  She added,
 
“Investment in Iraq has had a direct impact on   driving sustainable development and   diversifying sources of income,” noting that “investments have been directed toward vital sectors such as  industry,   infrastructure,  housing,  energy,  education, and   health, contributing to the  creation of new job opportunities and  increasing the size of the gross domestic product,  which represents an important step toward reducing dependence on oil as the primary source of revenue.” 

She continued,  “Recent years have witnessed remarkable progress thanks to government measures and programs adopted by the Authority,     most notably the activation of the single window,     joining international agreements to protect and encourage investment, and    developing an integrated investment map   that includes more than 100 strategic investment opportunities in diverse sectors.”

She explained that “the investment steps have     boosted investor confidence and  contributed to positioning Iraq among the region’s promising destinations,” noting that “an ambitious plan has been put in place to attract up to $250 billion over the next two years.”
 
Regarding Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani’s directives to remove obstacles facing the private sector and adapt laws to serve industrial development plans, she explained that
 
“the National Investment Commission is working to align investment legislation with the directives by
     simplifying procedures,  reducing red tape,  expanding the scope of public-private partnerships, and
     providing flexible incentives and solid legal guarantees.” 

She pointed out that “these measures will     enhance the effectiveness of existing investments and
     increase Iraq’s attractiveness  as a safe and stable investment environment,    serving the goals of comprehensive economic development.”    https://ina.iq/ar/economie/241392-250.html 

A National Team To Improve Iraq’s Credit Rating: An Economic Bet To Gain Global Confidence And Free The Economy From “Oil Restrictions.”
 
August 21, 2025  Baghdad / Iraq Observer  As Iraq approaches a pivotal stage in its economic trajectory, 
Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani on Wednesday
directed the formation of a joint national team to improve the country’s sovereign credit rating.
 
This move has been described as a serious attempt to
     reshape Iraq’s financial image in the eyes of the international community,
     enhance investment opportunities, and   reduce the cost of external borrowing.
 
This move comes at a time when the Iraqi economy faces major challenges, ranging from a chronic fiscal deficit,     near-total dependence on oil revenues, and severe fluctuations in global energy markets.
 
*Important Features Of Reform
 
According to a statement issued by the Prime Minister’s media office,  the new team will be headed by the Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq, and  will include   representatives from the Ministries of Finance, Oil, Planning, and the Securities Commission, in addition to the  Prime Minister’s Office and a  number of economic and banking institutions.
 
This team will be tasked with     developing an integrated strategy to improve Iraq’s credit rating, with
    clear and measurable objectives,  periodic reports to be submitted to official bodies, and
    direct coordination with international credit rating agencies,   most notably Fitch, S&P, and Moody’s.

According to the statement, the strategy will include   strengthening financial governance,
 risk management, and   developing the business environment in line with economic reform plans, with a focus on  diversifying national income sources and   reducing reliance on oil as the sole primary resource.
 
*Credit Rating: What Does It Mean for Iraq?
 
A country’s sovereign credit rating     reflects the government’s ability to meet its financial obligations and   is a pivotal tool in  determining borrowing costs and    attracting foreign investment.
 
Iraq,     which relies on oil exports for more than 90% of its financial resources,     finds itself vulnerable to the risks of energy price volatility,     weakening its standing with rating agencies.
 
Economic expert Ahmed Abdel Rabbo explains to Iraq Observer that the importance of 
improving Iraq’s credit rating lies in three main axes:
 
“The first is reducing the cost of borrowing.
 
Each notch higher in the rating reduces interest rates on sovereign loans, freeing up huge sums that can be invested in development projects.”
 
The second is “attracting foreign investment.
 
Investors tend to direct their funds toward countries with higher ratings,which could open the door to new capital flows into Iraq.”
 
The third axis, according to Abdul Rabbo, is”enhancing confidence in the national economy.
 
A good rating reflects the   government’s commitment to its debts and
     conveys a positive image of the stability of the financial system.” Abdul Rabbo adds that
 
“forming the national team is a step in the right direction, but he stresses the need for artistic work to be coupled with      real political and economic steps, such as  rationalizing public spending, combating corruption, and     diversifying the economy away from oil.”
 
*Politics and economics in one balance
 
Standard & Poor’s affirmed Iraq’s rating at B-/B with a stable outlook last February.

Despite the country’s solid foreign exchange reserves, the agency noted the existence of real risks that could lead to a downgrade, most notably:
“a weak institutional framework and   political uncertainty, a  lack of economic diversification and    overreliance on oil,  security and political risks that make the economic situation unpredictable, and the potential for public finances to be impacted by a sharp or prolonged decline in oil prices.”
 
According to the agency’s report, any deterioration in the government’s ability to manage public debt
or increased budget pressures     could lead to negative rating decisions.
 
*Fiscal deficit and public debt: worrying figures
 
Iraq suffers from a persistent financial deficit in its annual budgets due to the expansion of operating expenses, particularly  salaries for the massive public sector, which consumes the majority of revenues.
 
In light of these burdens, the public debt is rising,
     increasing the risk that the government will be unable to meet its obligations without relying on oil.
 
Economist Abdul Rabbah points out that “inflexible fiscal policies and unplanned expenditures are among the biggest challenges facing Iraq,” explaining that  improving its credit rating will not be possible unless these structural imbalances are addressed.    
https://observeriraq.net/فريق-وطني-لتحسين-التصنيف-الائتماني-لل/   

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