Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Thursday Morning  10-9-25

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US Investments In Iraq: The Return Of The “Whales” Through Oil And A “Conditional” Partnership

Economy / Politics / Special Files Yesterday, 7:30 PM | 608   New test  Baghdad Today – Baghdad   
Since the fall of the former regime in 2003, the    United States has been one of the most prominent economic players in Iraq through        reconstruction and    energy.   Over the past two decades, the American presence has alternated between periods of    openness and    control   over key economic levers, and    periods of contraction and    gradual withdrawal        in favor of Asian partners,      most notably China.

US investments in Iraq during this period are    estimated at tens of billions of dollars,        concentrated in the
   oil,      gas,    electricity,      finance, and  infrastructure sectors.
 
However, only a third of the announced projects     have actually been implemented,        according to reports from the       World Bank and the    US State Department.
 
The US State Department’s 2024 Iraq Investment Climate Report notes that  the country “remains a high-risk environment for foreign investment due to    bureaucracy,    corruption,    weak enforcement of commercial laws, and a    lack of transparency in public contracts.”
 
Exxon Mobil
 
ExxonMobil is the most prominent example of the  fluctuating relationship between  American investors and  Iraq.
 
In 2009, the company entered the market    with a major contract to develop the West Qurna 1 field,   one of the largest fields in Basra.

However, it later faced a series of disputes with the Ministry of Oil over    contract terms and
    cost-recovery mechanisms.
 
After recovering its investments,    it officially announced its withdrawal in 2023,
    selling its 22.7% stake to the Basra Oil Company        for approximately $350 million.
 
However, the story did not end there.
 
In October 2025, Bloomberg and Reuters reported that the    company had returned to negotiations with the Iraqi government        regarding the Majnoon field in Basra,     under a more generous agreement of principles that included          developing oil export infrastructure and      sharing profits from external marketing. In this context,
 
Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani    sponsored the signing ceremony of the HOA between the
        Ministry of Oil and the  American company ExxonMobil,    in the presence of the       company’s Vice President, Peter Larden, and the    US Chargé d’Affaires in Baghdad. Al-Sudani affirmed that
 
the agreement is “an important step for the  future of the oil sector in Iraq and the  development of economic relations with the United States,” emphasizing   “the commitment to  attracting global investments and  modernizing the infrastructure of the oil industry.”
 
Economic expert Nabil Al-Marsoumi noted in his analysis that “ExxonMobil‘s return     after selling its previous stake in West Qurna for $350 million    raises questions about the    nature of the new contracts and      their generosity,”
 
wondering whether this return “represents a    long-term investment opening or merely a    temporary deal
   that reproduces the previous withdrawal scenario after     profits were realized and    expenses were recovered.”

General Electric
 
In contrast, General Electric (GE)    has maintained a strong field presence in Iraq,    implementing project packages 
 worth more than $1.2 billion between 2020 and 2023,   including the supply and maintenance of generating units in   Basra, Hillah, and Bazian.
 
Despite the technical achievement,    financing and    payment issues   delayed some contracts,   prompting the company       to renegotiate sovereign guarantees with the Iraqi government to     secure its dues and      continue its operational commitments.
 
World Bank documents also indicate that    international financing institutions have        financed electricity projects worth $2.5 billion since 2005     with American companies participating in these projects        as part of     reconstruction programs and the     improvement of transmission and distribution networks.
 
Financial Sector
 
Despite repeated talk of US banks’ intention to enter the Iraqi market,    actual presence         has been limited to a handful of representative offices such as Citigroup.
 
This caution is linked to the US Treasury Department‘s    2023 actions against Iraqi banks accused of        poor financial compliance,      making dollar transfers more        complex and         costly.

 In contrast, the International Finance Corporation (IFC), the    US-coordinated arm of the World Bank,   has continued to provide     direct and indirect financing      exceeding $2.5 billion to support the Iraqi private sector since 2005,   including projects in    finance   agriculture, and    food production.

An Investment-Repellent Environment
 
Economist Nabil Al-Marsoumi, in his analyses published on his   official pages and   statements to the media, agrees that the   investment environment in Iraq remains repulsive to foreign and local capital,     due to the absence of         legal and financial guarantees and the    overlap of political and economic interests.

Al-Marsoumi stated, “The Iraqi environment is repulsive to investment,    whether        international or        local,” explaining that      “security conditions,      administrative corruption, and the       absence of fair competition    deter investors from entering into long-term projects.”
 
In another statement, he noted that “foreign investment still faces serious challenges    related to    lagging infrastructure,        complex bureaucratic procedures, and the    proliferation of uncontrolled weapons,     which makes any investment project vulnerable to    political and   security fluctuations.” In a separate analysis,

Al-Marsoumi noted that major oil contracts are being exploited politically    inside and    outside Iraq, explaining that 
some projects are used as indicators of    international influence  rather than genuine economic projects. He emphasized that the absence of a unified economic vision    has transformed Iraq into a market for political projects    rather than a productive environment attractive to capital,    calling for    radical legislative reform and the     unification of administrative authorities between the       center and the      provinces.
 

The results of the past two decades show that    American investment in Iraq has not disappeared,    but has changed in form and content. Whereas it was based on direct control,    it now relies on        conditional partnerships,        selective funding, and        partial projects.
 
In oil, Washington seeks to regain its foothold through the Majnoon field;  in electricity, General Electric continues its presence despite obstacles; andin finance, American companies maintain a measured presence    subject to strict scrutiny by the Treasury.
 
The crux of the problem, as Nabil Al-Marsoumi describes it, is that “investment in Iraq is not measured by the size of contracts,    but rather by the state’s sincerity in     protecting public funds and    implementing transparency for all.”      
https://baghdadtoday.news/284812-.html   

Economist: Iraq Has The Capacity To Export Petroleum Products By 2026.
 
    October 7, 11:19 AMInformation/Baghdad… Economic expert Ali Al-Furaiji confirmed on Tuesday that
 Iraq has the necessary capabilities to export petroleum products, particularly     gasoline and     kerosene,        during the coming year,     provided that it achieves self-sufficiency in these products        during the current year.
 
Al-Furaiji told Al-Maalouma News Agency, “Current data indicates that the     Basra and Kirkuk projects are entering stable service,        which will enable Iraq to achieve self-sufficiency in gasoline     in the near future.” 

He added, “Iraq has been able to achieve self-sufficiency in    kerosene and    diesel fuel since 2024,        with a real possibility of achieving an export surplus in 2026,    provided that the new units continue to operate stably,      especially the catalytic cracking (FCC) unit,     and that the     hydrogen and      energy supplies needed for the hydrogenation units 
  are guaranteed.”

He pointed out that “achieving this goal requires effective management of    distribution and    blending operations       to ensure that products    comply with international specifications, in addition to     strengthening     financial and      pricing governance    to prevent a return to unjustified imports,” indicating that
 
“success in the new refining plans requires    strict technical and    financial management        that transforms self-sufficiency    into a starting point for an export surplus after 2026.”  End 25N    
  
https://almaalomah.me/news/112242/economy/اقتصادي:-العراق-يمتلك-القدرة-على-تصدير-المشتقات-النفطية-في-2    

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