Iraq Economic News And Points To Ponder Thursday Morning  5-1-25

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The Rise In The Value Of The National Currency Has Local And International Causes
 
Economic 04/27/2025  Baghdad: Hussein Thaghab   The Iraqi dinar‘s exchange rate against the US dollar has witnessed a  significant improvement over the current period, supported by a number of internal and external factors.

Most notably, the
 
     country’s large financial reserves, the
     prudent monetary policies pursued by the Central Bank of Iraq, and
     signs of a thaw in USIranian relations have
 
combined to boost the value of the national currency.
 
Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Iraq, Dr. Ammar Hamad, said that the
improvement in the Iraqi dinar‘s exchange rate against the dollar in local markets
is due to the central bank‘s recent policy. He added that
 
Financial Reserves
 
the country’s massive financial reserves are one of the main reasons
behind the improvement in the value of the dinar against the dollar, and
 
we expect the dinar‘s value to continue to improve in the coming period. He pointed out that
 
the Central Bank of Iraq is working to consolidate the national currency
by adopting policies that are consistent with Iraq‘s
 
     financial capabilities and the
     requirements of the national economy.
 
Dollar Flow
 
Dr. Nabil Al-Abadi said:
 
“The past few days have witnessed a significant improvement in the exchange rate of the dinar against the dollar,
which is the result of a combination of internal and external factors.
 
On the monetary policy side, the Central Bank has taken strict measures, including
 
     restricting the flow of dollars through auction platforms and
     imposing strict oversight on banks. It has also
     raised the interest rate on dinar deposits,
     which has stimulated the transfer of some cash liquidity.
 

External Factors, such as the
 
     improvement in oil prices and the
     accompanying increase in foreign reserves,
 
have also contributed to this improvement.”  He added that
 
Stabilization
 
these measures, while effective in achieving short-term stability, remain subject to several risks.
 
The Iraqi economy’s dependence on oil revenues makes it hostage to global market fluctuations.
 
Furthermore, some austerity measures, such as
import restrictions,
could negatively impact citizens’ purchasing power
if they are not accompanied by policies that support local production. He stated that
 
Productive Sectors
 
ensuring the sustainability of this improvement requires structural reforms,
starting with
     diversifying the economic base and
     reducing dependence on oil, through
     developing productive sectors such as agriculture and industry.
 
This also requires
 
     a comprehensive overhaul of the banking system and
     simplifying customs procedures to boost non-oil exports, as well as
     enhancing investment confidence through stabilizing legislative policies. He stated that
 
improving the exchange rate is not an end in itself,
but rather must be a starting point for deeper economic reform.
 
International experience demonstrates that
sustainable monetary stability can only be achieved
through a productive economy capable of confronting external shocks.

Global Pressure
 
Financial expert Dr. Mustafa Akram emphasized that
 
while there is a reason for the
gap between the official exchange rate and the parallel exchange rate of the dinar against the dollar,
the gap has its causes. He pointed out that the
 
opening up between the United States and the Islamic Republic has eased global pressure on remittances to Iran,
 
     reducing demand for the dollar in local markets and
     strengthening the value of the national currency.
 
This coincides with ample supply from the Central Bank in the form of remittances and
other forms of financing, which necessitates strengthening this phase. He pointed out the
 
Electronic Card
 
importance of the Central Bank of Iraq taking action to
 
     reach an agreement with the United States and
     establish an official platform for transactions by
     creating an electronic payment card for use in IranRussia, and other sanctioned countries.
 
This would reduce demand for dollars, he noted, noting that
 
this would
 
     serve small traders and travelers,
     address many problems,
     reduce smuggling and illegal trade, and
     increase the value of the local currency.    
  
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