Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Tuesday Afternoon 8-18-25

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Home Savings…Idle Money

Economic 2025/08/19   Dr. Talal Nazim Al-Zuhairi   In almost every Iraqi home,  there’s a corner dedicated to financial security:  a metal box, a secret drawer, or even  a plastic bag hidden in a wardrobe.
 
Millions of dinars are kept at home   instead of being circulated through the economy via banks or investments,  with all the obvious risks this entails, such as   theft, fire, or even loss of money due to any emergency.

This phenomenon, which has become a common behavior, is not merely an old habit or an individual choice. Rather, it reflects a complex economic and social reality with profound repercussions for the
     financial system and the  national economy.
 
The primary reason driving Iraqi families to keep their money at home is the lack of trust in banks.
 
Previous experiences with
     delayed salary payments or
     disruptions to electronic systems, in addition to the
     complex procedures for withdrawals and deposits,
          have created a state of chronic anxiety among depositors.
 
In the mind of the citizen, keeping cash at home ensures immediate access to their funds when needed,
 without falling into a cycle of red tape or facing the possibility of accounts being frozen in times of crisis.
 
However, there is also a near-total absence of safe and transparent investment channels.
 
The average citizen, especially those with medium or limited incomes,  has only two options:
          deposit their money in a bank with a weak return that doesn’t keep pace with inflation, or
          take the risk of investing in unsecured projects that lack proper research and oversight.
 
Under this equation, the home becomes more attractive than any financial institution.
 
When the government announced the salary localization policy,the stated goal was to
     integrate a broad segment of employees into the banking system and
     facilitate financial transactions through electronic payments and purchases,
          while keeping surplus funds in bank accounts rather than withdrawing them in cash.
 
However, reality has proven that the lack of trust in banks has rendered this policy ineffective.
 
As soon as salaries are deposited into accounts, the
     majority of employees rush to withdraw them in full on the same day,
          as if the bank account were merely a temporary stopover.
 
Money continues to leak out of the banking system as soon as it enters,
     re-entering the same household savings cycle.

Thus, the idea of localization has transformed
     from a tool for promoting financial inclusion
          into a formality that fails to achieve its economic objectives.
 
The continued withdrawal of funds from the Iraqi banking system and
     their continued holding at home
          weakens banks’ ability to lend and
          puts pressure on the government to meet its obligations.
 
This could
     lead to delayed salaries and
     force the Central Bank to print more currency,
          causing inflation and
          weakening purchasing power.
 
Successful international experiences (such as those in Turkey and Malaysia) have proven that the
     solution begins with
          rebuilding trust between citizens and banks by
               improving services,
               providing incentives to savers, and
               expanding electronic payments.
 
To achieve similar results, Iraq needs to:
     digitize government salaries and payments;
     launch savings and investment instruments
          with attractive and secure returns; and
     ensure deposit protection. In addition, it needs to
     improve the banking infrastructure and
     reduce electronic transaction fees.     https://alsabaah.iq/119166-.html   

The Value Of Iraq’s Gold Reserves Has Increased.
 
Economy     2025-08-19 | 625 views  An economic observatory announced on Tuesday that the 
value of Iraq’s gold reserves rose by 4.76% during the first half of this year,   due to gold pricesrising global   The observatory said in a statement seen by Sumaria News that “Iraq possesses 162 tons of gold as part of its national reserves,” noting that   “the price of a ton of gold was $105 million in January 2025, and  gradually rose to $110 million by the end of June 2025.” 

 He added, “This increase in the price of gold has directly contributed to 
     raising the value of Iraq’s gold reserves,” stressing that  “gold remains one of the most important strategic assets that enhances the country’s financial strength.” 

The Observatory noted that “the rise in global gold prices over the past months reflects
 fluctuations in global markets and     directly impacts the value of national reserves in many countries,   including Iraq.” 

He explained,   “Monitoring gold prices on a regular basis enables Iraq to     accurately assess the value of its reserves and     make appropriate economic decisions  to maintain the stability of the country’s purchasing power.”  https://www.alsumaria.tv/news/economy/537713/ارتفاع-قيمة-احتياطي-العراق-من-الذهب

Economists: Public Spending Technology Will Reduce The Budget Deficit
 
Economic 08/20/2025    Baghdad: The pillar of the emirate  In light of the ongoing volatility of crude oil prices in global markets,  the government has adopted what is known as the “public spending technique”   as a mechanism for  managing financial resources and   ensuring their optimal allocation.
 
This technique is based on
     planning,
     implementing, and
     monitoring government spending
     to achieve
          efficiency and
          effectiveness,
          align with sustainable development goals, and
          meet societal needs.
 
Alternatives to compensate for the deficiency
 
The government’s financial advisor, Dr. Mazhar Muhammad Salih, stated that the
     instability of global crude oil prices and
     their decline to below the price set in Budget Law No. (13) of 2023,
     which amounted to $70 per barrel,
          forced Iraq to search for alternatives to compensate for the shortfall in revenues.  He explained that  the escalating trade war between the world’s two largest economies—the  United States, the largest oil producer, and  China, the largest importer, with 10 million barrels per day—     was the primary reason for this decline. 

Saleh explained, in his interview with Al-Sabah, that the  United States is investing extensively in shale oil fields with a production cost of no less than $58 per barrel at the break-even point, with a production rate of 15 million barrels per day, in addition to strategic storage needs of up to To 23 million barrels.

In contrast, China imports about 10 million barrels per day, the highest import rate in the world. He emphasized that    this reality places international markets before “the most difficult geo-economic equation in their history,”  which will not stabilize    unless a balance is achieved between   production cycles and   oil assets at a moderate and stable point. 

 He added that,  in light of the above, the   Iraqi public finances are working to maximize their revenues
  through the time factor in financial collection without delay,    by enhancing the government’s unified digital account.

Government collections will be digitally collected for the benefit of the public finances’ cash budget,
ensuring that all government payments, including     wages,     services,     fees,     taxes, and     market sector revenues,    are received via instant digital payments without delay, with the aim of   enhancing spending without    delay or  resorting extensively to bridge financing through borrowing.
 
Options and alternatives
 
The Prime Minister’s financial advisor continued that the   fiscal policy has set limits on two spending options.

The first is necessary spending, represented by   paying salaries, wages, pensions, social welfare, debt services, farmers’ support, and fuel, on the one hand, and proceeding with the basic infrastructure projects approved within the government’s service program, on the other hand.

He added that the   second option is expanding deferred operational spending  in the event of an increase in oil prices and the  return of oil assets to stability at higher price levels,   to implement the approved expenditures according to their  importance and the   importance of their gradualness.

He stressed that  it is a successful flexible fiscal policy     supported by a strong monetary policy that
  maintains stability with monetary guarantees that    provide sustainability of financial spending at the ideal minimum   without the country being exposed to any economic contraction.
 
Administrative Control 
 
For his part, Dr. Imad Al-Ani, an economic expert, explained that financial reform efforts should focus on
 increasing the efficiency of allocating government resources by  strengthening administrative control systems to   control and reduce resources allocated to unproductive operational spending, or   what is known as “off-budget spending.”

This is what is meant by public spending technology, meaningthe use of  modern technology and     advanced methods   to better distribute public funds  by measuring the returns on this spending,
 
thus shifting funds
     from unproductive public spending
     to productive spending with economic and social returns that achieve the well-being of society.
 
Social services
 
Al-Ani added to Al-Sabah that the public spending technique also means linking the commitment to

     providing support for goods and services to the needy groups in particular,
     working to improve the level of social services and the method of providing them, in addition to
     focusing on human development and infrastructure.

He pointed out that   the composition and structure of public spending,   not its level,   is what is important in the process of reforming public spending,  to the extent that the level of public spending is consistent with economic stability.  https://alsabaah.iq/119249-.html  

Economist: 99.2% Of Crude Oil Revenues Go To Cover Salaries Alone.
 
Today’s Economy , 10:22 | 298 Baghdad Today – Baghdad   Economic expert Nabil Al-Marsoumi confirmed on Tuesday (August 19, 2025) that most crude oil revenues go to cover salaries only, warning that   this situation undermines the     potential for economic development and  limits the provision of basic services to the population. 

Al-Marsoumi said in a post on his Facebook account, followed by “Baghdad Today,” that 
oil revenues are almost entirely allocated to cover salaries,   according to the financial accounts published by the Ministry of Finance for the first quarter of 2025.
 
Crude oil export revenues amounted to approximately 45.283 trillion dinars, while
total salaries paid amounted to 44.946 trillion dinars, with  a coverage rate of 99.2%.”

He added that these salaries include
     employee compensation,
     grants and wages,
     retirement pensions,
     salaries for full-time appointees, and the
     social safety net,
 
warning that this situation     undermines the potential for economic development and
     limits the provision of basic services to the population.
 
To address this crisis, the expert outlined two main solutions: the 
first is to increase public revenues,  whether from oil or non-oil sources, and the  second is to reform and restructure the payroll system by    addressing private and duplicate salaries,  combating corruption, and   rationalizing expenditures.

 Al-Marsoumi pointed out that   if swift action is not taken, the     government may be forced to make difficult choices, such as     devaluing the dinar or     reconsidering government subsidies—  decisions that would negatively impact fixed-income earners and the poor.      https://baghdadtoday.news/281227-992.html  

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