Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains heavily disrupted even after the announced ceasefire in the Middle East, with maritime data showing that traffic has not returned to normal levels.
According to tracking reports, only around 10 vessels have passed through the strait since the ceasefire took effect—far below typical conditions for one of the world’s most important energy chokepoints, which normally handles roughly one-fifth of global oil and LNG flows.
The continued slowdown reflects ongoing geopolitical tension involving the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, whose statements and actions have contributed to uncertainty over safe passage. Even though the ceasefire formally reopened the waterway, shipping companies remain cautious.
Most of the vessels that have transited are either linked to Iran or operating under arrangements that appear to comply with Iranian-approved routing conditions. Reports suggest ships are being directed through alternative paths near Iranian-controlled waters, raising concerns about informal controls and possible fees.
Industry analysts note that traffic is still down roughly 90% compared to normal levels. As a result, hundreds of ships and large volumes of crude oil remain effectively stuck in or near the Gulf, unable or unwilling to risk transit.
Shipping firms such as Hapag-Lloyd have reportedly suspended operations through the route due to safety concerns, while others are waiting for clearer guarantees before resuming passage.
There are also emerging claims—though not officially confirmed—that transit fees could be imposed on vessels, potentially including payments linked to oil shipments.
In short, despite the ceasefire, the Strait of Hormuz is still operating under “high-risk mode,” with limited traffic, altered routing, and widespread hesitation from global shipping operators.
