Iraq Economic News and Points To Ponder Late Sunday Evening 8-31-25

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Expert: US Withdrawal From Iraq Remains Formal Unless It Includes Ain Al-Assad Base

A wish | 08/31/2025  Mawazine News – Baghdad Political analyst Ibrahim Al-Sarraj stressed on Sunday that any withdrawal of foreign forces, especially American forces, will not be credible and real unless it includes the handover of the Ain Al-Assad military base and a complete withdrawal from Iraqi territory, warning of American plans aimed at destabilizing the region. .

Al-Sarraj said in a statement, “Talk about an American withdrawal from Iraq loses its true meaning if it is limited to redeployment from one base to another, such as moving from the Ain Al-Assad base to the Harir base in the Kurdistan region, because the latter is also located within Iraqi territory, and therefore cannot be considered a complete withdrawal.”

He added, “This move falls within the framework of a broader American strategy aimed at maintaining a military foothold inside Iraq, and may be part of the ‘Greater Israel’ project that seeks to redraw the map of influence in the region.”

The political analyst pointed out that “the agreement concluded between Baghdad and Washington clearly stipulates a full withdrawal by September 2025, which requires the Iraqi government to be more cautious and exert greater pressure to ensure the full implementation of the withdrawal, and not accept formal formulas or circumvent the terms of the agreement.”

This comes at a time when political and popular calls are increasing for a definitive end to the foreign presence in Iraq, as this is the only way to achieve independent sovereignty and lasting stability for the country.   https://www.mawazin.net/Details.aspx?jimare=266006

Economist Warns Against Bank Deposits
 
Baghdad Today – Baghdad    Economic expert Munar Al-Abidi warned on Saturday (August 30, 2025) about the  size of deposits in the Iraqi banking system, stressing that they   are dangerous and  do not contribute to creating real economic value.
 
Al-Obaidi said in a post on his Facebook account , followed by Baghdad Today, that “deposits in the Iraqi banking system exceeded 115 trillion dinars in June 2025,” noting that “more than 95 trillion of them are current without interest, while savings and fixed deposits did not exceed 20 trillion only, meaning that nearly 80% of the funds are deposited in short-term accounts  that do not ontribute to creating real economic value.”

Al-Abidi added, “The most dangerous aspect is that more than 85% of these deposits are held in  government banks,  which continue to play a traditional role in preserving funds   without being able to convert them into  productive loans or investment instruments   that serve the economy.”

He added, “Despite this large volume of liquidity, the  total loans granted to the private sector and public institutions   did not exceed  46 trillion dinars, or  less than 40% of total deposits.
 
This is a very modest percentage compared to    Jordan, where it reaches more than 75%, and in    Egypt, it is about 85%, while in    Turkey it exceeds 100%.
 
What is more dangerous than the size of the loans   is their nature, as data indicates that   more than 66% of them went to  personal consumer loans or  loans for construction and    real estate purchase, while   the rest was distributed among the productive sectors.”

He indicated that “we note that financing for the    industrial sector did not exceed only 4% of the total loans, while financing for the    agricultural sector did not exceed the barrier of 3% of the total loans, a number that  clearly reveals the absence of a development compass in the work of banks.”

 Al-Obaidi continued,   “This reality places government banks under direct responsibility, as  they hold the majority of deposits but   have been unable to transform them into a driving force for the economy. They   have been content with the role of ‘reservoir‘   rather than being development institutions.”

He noted that  “the persistence of this gap between  enormous liquidity and  limited funding  raises questions about the viability of current banking policies and  calls for a radical change in the banking system’s operating model.” 

He said,  “For banks to regain their developmental role, there is a package of possible solutions: the first is to redirect the loan structure towards productive sectors such as agriculture,  industry and  renewable energy  instead of being limited to  consumer and  real estate loans.

The second is to develop new financial tools such as  financing small and medium-sized enterprises with partial state guarantees.

The third is to improve incentives for long-term savings by  raising interest rates on  savings and  fixed deposits   to attract additional liquidity to the banking system.

The fourth is to expand partnerships with the private sector  through joint financing funds   that finance   infrastructure and  industrial projects.

The fifth is to enhance  transparency and  governance within government banks to  reduce waste and  enhance public confidence.”  He concluded, “Iraq is   not suffering from a liquidity shortage,   but rather from its misuse.
 
Unless the banking system transforms   from mere stagnant treasuries  into  effective institutions   that channel funds toward production, the  economy will remain captive to a vicious cycle of  consumption and  sterile financing, and  massive deposits will continue to have little impact on  growth and  job opportunities.”    https://baghdadtoday.news/282088-.html  

Economist: Decline In Stock Markets And Banks Portends A Crisis Of Confidence In The Iraqi Economy.
  

Baghdad Today – Baghdad   Economic expert Munar Al-Abidi confirmed, on Sunday (August 31, 2025), in an in-depth analysis of the Iraqi economic situation, that the decline in the stock markets and banks portends a crisis of confidence in the Iraqi economy.

Al-Obaidi said in a post on his Facebook account, followed by Baghdad Today, that “countries usually rely on withdrawing the monetary mass to their financial institutions    through two main sectors: the  banking sector and the  stock market sector.
 
In the banking sector,  investment is less risky but also less profitable,while the stock market sector is characterized by  higher levels of risk but   offers opportunities for large profits.”

He added, “Although the focus has always been on banks’ ability to attract deposits,    2025 saw a decline in this regard,” noting that “private sector deposits in banks decreased by 7%  compared to the previous year.” Al-Obaidi pointed out that “the Iraq Stock xchange experienced  one of its worst declines in monthly trading volume during the first half of 2025.
 
Trading value fell    from an average of 53 billion dinars per month in the first half of 2024
    to an average of only 32 billion dinars per month in the first half of 2025, a  decline of 38%.
 
The decline peaked in June 2025, when the market recorded its  lowest trading volume in the past two years,  at just 22 billion dinars.” 

 He pointed out that   “the most prominent problem in the market   lies in the concentration of trading in the hands of just five companies   out of 104 listed companies, as  these companies account for more than 85% of the total trading volume.
 
This is compounded by the clear withdrawal of foreign investors from the market,
    despite the fact that this market was supposed to be a major gateway for
    attracting foreign investment due to its  ease of access and ease of trading.

”  Al-Obaidi stressed that “the decline in trading volume, coupled with the  withdrawal of foreign nvestors, necessitates a comprehensive regulatory review, including  strengthening compliance and transparency standards, and   launching marketing plans aimed not only at  increasing trading volume, but also at  expanding the contribution of other companies from various sectors and   encouraging the listing of new companies.”

He noted that  “this contraction reflects a loss of confidence, not only in the   banking sector, but also in the  stock market itself, despite the fact that many listed companies achieved strong financial results   that could have attracted various investors.” 

 Al-Obaidi explained that “the current situation requires swift action by the responsible authorities, by   aligning the market with global markets and  introducing modern technologies, most notably  artificial intelligence, to  enhance transparency and  compliance with competition laws, in addition to  extensive marketing campaigns   that help educate Iraqi citizens about the   importance of investing in the Iraq Stock Exchange.” 

He concluded by saying, “Listing major strategic companies such as  government banks,   general insurance companies,  Iraqi Airways, and  profitable companies affiliated with the Ministries of Communications, Oil, and Industry  will   enhance the market’s attractiveness and  consolidate a trading culture. Likewise, encouraging the private sector to transform into public joint-stock companies  in preparation for listing   will increase the market’s  depth and  diversity.

” He indicated that “reforming market mechanisms not only contributes to building the confidence of local Iraqi investors, but also opens the door to foreign investment and protects small investors  from being drawn to unregulated platforms that could expose them to loss.”    https://baghdadtoday.news/282165-.html

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