Can Bitcoin price break out of the ascending channel toward $74K?

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Bitcoin is sitting around $72,330 right now, and it’s pushing against an important level.

Over the past few weeks, the price has been moving inside a steady upward channel, starting from around $65,000 in late March. Now it’s testing the top of that channel near $72,600—and that’s where things usually get tricky.

This level is acting like resistance. Price is pressing against it, but hasn’t clearly broken through yet.

At the same time, the overall trend still looks strong.

All the key moving averages are lined up below the price, which is a classic bullish sign. In simple terms, the structure is healthy, and buyers are still in control for now.

Momentum, though, is a bit mixed.

The MACD is still slightly negative, but it’s improving. That tells us the market is recovering strength—but it’s not fully there yet. For a clean breakout, Bitcoin will likely need a bit more push, especially in volume.

Now here’s what really matters:

If Bitcoin manages to close above $72,600 (on the 4-hour chart), that would confirm a breakout from the channel. From there, the next targets are pretty clear:

  • First stop: $74,000
  • Then: $76,000

But if it fails to break and gets rejected, we could see a pullback.

The first support is around $72,000. If that level breaks, the next key zone is around $70,000, which has been acting as the foundation of this whole move. If Bitcoin drops below $70K on a daily close, the bullish structure starts to break down.

Behind the scenes, there’s a strong reason why Bitcoin is holding up well.

Big money is still flowing in.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs pulled in about $786 million last week alone. A huge part of that came from BlackRock’s ETF, which continues to attract serious institutional demand. That kind of steady buying gives the market a strong base.

There are also bigger forces at play—like inflation data and the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting. These macro factors can quickly shift momentum in either direction.

So right now, Bitcoin is at a key decision point:

  • Break above $72,600 → momentum continues toward $74K+
  • Rejection → possible pullback toward $70K

The trend is still bullish—but it needs confirmation.